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Head of Macroeconomics and Demand Forecasting

Posted: 31 Jul 2020 Closes: 17 Aug 2020
Birkenhead, Croydon, Coventry, Durham, Weymouth, Gloucester, Kingston upon Hull, Leicester, Nottingham, Peterborough, Plymouth, Preston, Swansea, Telford, £63,778 (Croydon £67,980)
Flexible hm-land-registry/20200731172939

HMLR have a great opportunity to join us as The Head of Macroeconomics and Demand Forecasting. This role will enable you to create and lead a high-performing economic team in support of HMLR’s key strategic decisions and major business cases. You will provide thought leadership on economics and in particular on macroeconomics, to build a thriving economic community. 

This is a high-profile and strategic role, interfacing regularly with all members of the Executive Board and providing input to discussions at the Land Registry Board. The post holder will work effectively with leadership at all levels of the organisation, using evidence and analysis to influence the organisation’s key decisions and offering evidence-based challenge where it is needed. The role offers a chance to establish a new economics function in a fascinating area, with strong support from an engaged executive board and Chief Analyst. 

The successful candidate will work on strategy, operational delivery and policy, and will have the chance to build their own team.

Job description

The main duties include the following: 

• Work with the Chief Analyst to design and deliver an economic function, putting in place appropriate standards and support systems for economists and helping to establish the scale and structure of HMLR’s analytical community. Take responsibility for the quality of HMLR’s economic analysis; 
• Deliver thought leadership around the evidence in support of HMLR’s activities, and in particular: 
o Develop a clear strategic narrative setting out HMLR’s position in the economy and the impacts of its activities, identify key evidence gaps, and put in place a strategy to address them; 
o Bring economic analysis to bear on HMLR’s key strategic decisions; 
o Manage and quality-assure the economic elements of major business cases; 
• Build relationships with key stakeholders, including HMT, the geospatial commission, and BEIS, as well as estate agents and conveyancers; 
• Deliver, maintain and develop a clear strategic narrative around HMLR’s impact in the property market; 
• Deliver, maintain and develop HMLR’s medium-term demand forecasts and leading indicators of economic turning points, aligning with Office for Budgetary Responsibility (OBR) and other property market forecasts; 
• Manage a team of five staff in the first instance (we expect some growth with demand), with direct line management responsibility for one G7 and one SEO.


You will have deep knowledge of macroeconomics and ability to apply it in a range of contexts and skills in econometric modelling. Significant experience of developing major business cases and evidence narratives, and of engagement cross-Whitehall and especially with HMT. You will be able to demonstrate your experience of presenting analysis with impact, including authoring papers and presenting findings at Board level. Your proven track record of using evidence to influence strategic decision-making and of analytical quality assurance under significant pressure will be easy to showcase. You are a strong leader and manager. 

For more information please see the attached job description.


We'll assess you against these behaviours during the selection process:

  • Seeing the Big Picture
  • Changing and Improving
  • Leadership
  • Developing Self and Others

Technical skills

We'll assess you against these technical skills during the selection process:

  • Macroeconomics
  • Qualification or relevant experience


A great place to work 
HM Land Registry is a vibrant place to work with sport and social events and a variety of clubs. We offer flexible working to help you achieve a work-life balance that works for you and us. 

Where difference is celebrated 
We’re committed to fairness and equality for all, so you feel valued for who you are and what you do. Diversity fuels our innovation. Our shared values help us work together, to benefit the communities we serve. 

Our employee diversity networks support our culture of inclusion and contribute to our diversity action plan. Our current focus is to encourage people from under-represented groups into management and leadership roles, especially people with disabilities, women and ethnic minority colleagues. 

Please click here for further information on our rewards package: 
Working for HM Land Registry

Things you need to know


Successful candidates must pass a disclosure and barring security check.

People working with government assets must complete basic personnel security standard checks.

Selection process details

This vacancy is using Success Profiles, and will assess your Behaviours, Strengths, Experience and Technical skills.

Please copy and paste your CV onto the online application form, detailing your qualifications and work history and complete the two, 250 word technical boxes. 

The Statement of Suitability section (in no more than 1250 words) should be used to outline your skills and experience for the role and provide details of how you meet the essential criteria listed below: 
• Significant experience of developing major business cases and evidence narratives, and of engagement cross-Whitehall and especially with HMT; 
• Significant experience of presenting analysis with impact, including authoring papers and presenting findings at Board level; 
• Proven track record of using evidence to influence strategic decision-making; 
• Experience of analytical quality assurance under significant pressure; 
• Strong leadership and management skills 

The sift will take place shortly after the closing date. If successful at shortlisting stage, you will be invited to attend a virtual, blended interview and pre-prepared presentation. 

The blended interview will test the behaviours listed in the above job description, as well as the strengths associated with the role. We want to hear your first, unrehearsed, natural response to strength questions, and so we don’t advertise which strengths are being tested. 
The best way to prepare for strengths questions is to reflect on what you identify as your own personal strengths, and your preferred ways of working.

HMLR is accredited to the Disability Confidence Scheme, which denotes organisations which have a positive attitude towards disabled people. Disabled applicants who meet the minimum essential criteria at the shortlisting stage are guaranteed an invitation to interview. 
If any candidate requires the panel to consider a reasonable adjustment or there is anything else they would like the panel to take into consideration they are asked to notify us of this at application stage where possible or during the process as soon as it becomes a requirement. 

Please review your application form before clicking ‘submit’ – once you have submitted, you will not be able to amend your application. 
Ensure your application form is received by the closing date for receipt of applications – this is 11:55pm on the advertised date. 

If you would like further information about the use of your personal data, please click on the link below: 
Job Applicant Personal Information

Feedback will only be provided if you attend an interview or assessment.

Nationality requirements

Open to UK, Commonwealth and European Economic Area (EEA) and certain non EEA nationals. Further information on whether you are able to apply is available here.

Working for the Civil Service

The Civil Service Code sets out the standards of behaviour expected of civil servants.

We recruit by merit on the basis of fair and open competition, as outlined in the Civil Service Commission's recruitment principles.

The Civil Service embraces diversity and promotes equal opportunities. As such, we run a Disability Confident Scheme (DCS) for candidates with disabilities who meet the minimum selection criteria.

HM Land Registry

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